Sudan Civil War
WarStatus as of 2026-11-03
Situation
War between the army and the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) continues. The RSF controls much of Darfur and the west, and on Oct 27 its drones hit a Khartoum power station, cutting electricity across Khartoum and Al-Jazira states. US-led ceasefire efforts have produced no breakthrough.
Market odds
- Sudan civil war ceasefire by Dec 31, 2026Higher = more peaceful outcome10%▲2
Latest news
- Sudan Army & Allies Advance Against RSF in West Kordofan
Sudan's army and allied forces say they seized areas near El-Khwei in West Kordofan and downed another long-range RSF drone.
- Darfur survivors vow to tell story of those killed after Sudan camp attacks
A year after the RSF captured el-Fasher, survivors of the Zamzam camp and city attacks are documenting the killings, which a UN probe called genocide.
- Deadly RSF drone attacks reveal deep divisions between Sudan and Ethiopia
Sudan accuses Ethiopia of letting RSF drones launch from its territory against power stations, deepening the rift between the two neighbours.
- Drone attacks extend campaign targeting Sudan's power system
Drones hit three more substations, bringing attacks on Sudan's power grid to 18 in a week; the army blames the RSF and Ethiopia.
- Sudanese people ‘trapped between drones and incarceration’ in Al Obeid, says UN mission
A UN fact-finding mission says thousands in Al Obeid were detained and tortured by army security cells amid drone attacks.
