Israel–Lebanon (Hezbollah)
Armed conflictStatus as of 2026-11-03
Situation
Hezbollah opened fire in March in support of Iran, triggering an Israeli offensive; Israeli forces now occupy much of southern Lebanon and strike almost daily. Reuters reports Hezbollah has spent months rearming with Iranian funds for a possible new round.
Market odds
- Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by Dec 319%▼2
- Hezbollah disarms by Dec 31Higher = more peaceful outcome2%
Latest news
- Israeli strike on Qabrikha kills one and wounds another
An Israeli strike on a motorcycle in Qabrikha killed one person, the first such casualty since September, as shelling and demolitions continued across south Lebanon.
- Intense Israeli strikes, artillery fire hit south Lebanon Monday morning
Israeli air raids and artillery struck more than 18 villages in south Lebanon overnight and into Monday morning.
- Hezbollah says does not care who governs Israel
After Israel's election, Hezbollah chief Naim Qassem ruled out disarmament while Israeli forces remain in southern Lebanon.
- Hezbollah Is Readying to Renew War With Israel With Funds From Iran, Lebanese Sources Say
Reports of stockpiled explosives, new attack drones and rebuilt command structures.
